We learned last night that there is an unusually high number of ballots from Tuesday’s election that remain uncounted – more than 100,000 mail and provisional ballots, on paper, that were mailed or dropped off at polls. The estimate now from the Alameda County Registrar of Voters is that the final certification of results will not be done for a couple more weeks.
However, according to calculations run by a statistically-savvy member of our group, and independently by the East Bay Express, the pro-A1 side would need to get almost 80% of the remaining ballots to change the outcome. This would be highly improbable. So we remain confident, but unfortunately at this point we also just have to remain patient until the final, final is out! And be glad this isn’t Florida!